Northampton vs Gillingham prediction

So far in the EFL Trophy, Northampton have won none, drawn none and lost two of two, with 1 goals scored and 5 conceded, good for 4th place and 0 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, one draw and three defeats, averaging 0.8 goals for and 1.2 against. Last time out they lost 4-0 to York away; before that came a 1-0 defeat at home to Oldham and a 1-1 draw away at Accrington.

Northampton haven't won in three. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. At home they've won one of three recently (2 scored, 2 conceded).

Gillingham have won one, drawn none and lost one of their two EFL Trophy games so far, scoring 5 and letting in 7. That has them 2nd on 3 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, one draw and three defeats, at 1.5 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Barrow at home; before that came a 2-1 win away at Shrewsbury and a 4-1 defeat at home to Grimsby.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. On the road they've won one of two recently (3 scored, 4 conceded).

Home and away form points to Gillingham: Northampton have won one of their last three at home, Gillingham one of their last two on the road. Three points separate the two sides in the table.

We make Northampton favourites at 48%, with Gillingham on 29% and the draw at 22%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 3.2 in the game: 1.8 for Northampton and 1.4 for Gillingham. Over 2.5 goals is 60% and both teams scoring 58%. Their last meeting, on 29 Aug 2026, finished 1-1.