Carlisle vs Harrogate Town prediction

Carlisle have won seven, drawn five and lost four of their 16 National League games so far, scoring 32 and letting in 23. That has them 8th on 26 points.

Their last six in all competitions read five wins, one draw and no defeats, at 1.8 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Hull 2-1 away; before that came a 2-1 win away at Solihull Moors and a 2-1 win at home to Tamworth.

Carlisle are unbeaten in six. Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won one of two recently (2 scored, 1 conceded).

So far in the National League, Harrogate Town have won ten, drawn two and lost four of 16, with 34 goals scored and 23 conceded, good for 2nd place and 32 points.

Over the last six matches it has been five wins, one draw and no defeats, averaging 2.0 goals for and 0.5 against. Last time out they beat Sutton 3-1 at home; before that came a 3-1 win at home to Bury and a 1-1 draw away at Bury.

Harrogate Town are unbeaten in six. They have scored in each of their last six. Three clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won two of three recently (3 scored, 1 conceded).

There isn't much between Carlisle's home form and Harrogate Town's away form. Six points separate the two sides in the table.

We make Carlisle clear favourites at 53%, with Harrogate Town on 26% and the draw at 21%. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Carlisle still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 3.2 in the game: 2.0 for Carlisle and 1.2 for Harrogate Town. Over 2.5 goals is 58% and both teams scoring 55%. When they last met, on 8 Mar 2025, Harrogate won 1-0.