Rennes vs Marseille prediction, 11 September 2026

Rennes

Friday, 11 September 2026

10Half time 0 : 0Ligue 1

Marseille

Match result

Pre-match prediction

Locked at kickoff

23.5%Rennes

21.8%Draw

54.7%Marseille

Double chance

Rennes or draw45%

Either team wins78%

Marseille or draw76%

1.4Rennes3.5expected goals2.1Marseille

Every market

All predictions

Total goals

LineOverUnder

0.597%3%

1.587%13%

2.568%32%

3.547%53%

4.528%72%

Both teams to score

Yes66%No34%

Team total goals

OverRennesMarseille

0.576%88%

1.541%62%

2.517%35%

Clean sheet

Rennes12%Marseille24%

Win to nil

Rennes9%Marseille22%

Odd or even goals

Odd50%Even50%

Winning margin

Draw21%

WinsRennesMarseille

by 114%21%

by 27%16%

by 3+4%16%

Total goal bands

0-1 goals13%2-3 goals40%4-5 goals32%6+ goals15%

Match preview · Ligue 1

Rennes vs Marseille: preview and prediction

11 Sept 2026 · 19:45

Rennes take on Marseille on Friday 11 September (19:45). Rennes go into it 5th in the table after nine games, with Marseille 6th. Last time out Rennes won 2-1 away at Angers, and Marseille lost 3-2 at home to Paris FC. Rennes haven't lost any of their last three at home.

The forecast

24%Rennes22%Draw55%Marseille

Expected goals1.4-2.1Over 2.5 goals68%Both teams score66%

FormEvenHome and awayRennesThe tableEvenGoalsEvenHead to headMarseille

Rennes: form and key numbers

So far in the Ligue 1, Rennes have won five, drawn one and lost three of nine, with 20 goals scored and 19 conceded, good for 5th place and 16 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, two draws and one defeat, averaging 2.0 goals for and 1.8 against. Last time out they beat Angers 2-1 away; before that came a 3-2 win at home to Le Mans and a 2-2 draw at home to Paris Saint-Germain.

Rennes are unbeaten in four. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. At home they've won two of three recently (7 scored, 5 conceded).

RennesLast 6 · 3W 2D 1L

6 SeptAAngers2-1W
30 AugHLe Mans3-2W
23 AugHParis Saint-Germain2-2D
23 AugAParis Saint-Germain2-2D
17 MayAMarseille1-3L
10 MayHParis FC2-1W

2.0scored a game1.8conceded a game1.8points a game

At home · last 3WDW

Rennes: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Marseille: form and key numbers

Marseille have won five, drawn none and lost four of their nine Ligue 1 games so far, scoring 20 and letting in 13. That has them 6th on 15 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, no draws and three defeats, at 1.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 3-2 to Paris FC at home; before that came a 2-0 defeat away at Monaco and a 4-0 win at home to Strasbourg.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won one of three recently (1 scored, 5 conceded).

MarseilleLast 6 · 3W 0D 3L

6 SeptHParis FC2-3L
30 AugAMonaco0-2L
21 AugHStrasbourg4-0W
17 MayHRennes3-1W
10 MayALe Havre1-0W
2 MayANantes0-3L

1.7scored a game1.5conceded a game1.5points a game

Away · last 3LWL

Marseille: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Rennes vs Marseille: match analysis

Home and away form points to Rennes: Rennes have won two of their last three at home, Marseille one of their last three on the road. One point separates the two sides in the table.

The table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
4	Paris	9	5	2	2	+6	17
5	Rennes	9	5	1	3	+1	16
6	Marseille	9	5	0	4	+7	15
7	Monaco	9	4	3	2	+2	15

We make Marseille clear favourites at 55%, with Rennes on 24% and the draw at 22%.

Goals, recent and expected

2.0Scored a game1.7
1.8Conceded a game1.5
1.4Expected here (xG)2.1

Over 1.587%Over 2.568%Over 3.547%Both score66%

On goals, it expects around 3.5 in the game: 1.4 for Rennes and 2.1 for Marseille. Over 2.5 goals is 68% and both teams scoring 66%. When they last met, on 17 May 2026, Marseille won 3-1.

Last meetings

17 May 2026Marseille3-1Rennes
15 Aug 2025Rennes1-0Marseille
17 May 2025Marseille4-2Rennes
11 Jan 2025Rennes1-2Marseille
17 Mar 2024Rennes2-0Marseille

Punt-X prediction

Over 2.5 goals68%

Their recent games have averaged 3.5 goals.

Every market at a glance

ResultMarseille win55%
Double chanceEither team wins78%
GoalsOver 2.568%
Both teams to scoreYes66%
Clean sheetMarseille24%
CornersRennes 4.5 · Marseille 4.89.3 expected
Cards4.1 yellows expectedRed 25%

Frequently asked questions

Rennes vs Marseille

Rennes vs Marseille prediction