Aurora vs Universitario de Vinto prediction

Aurora have won eight, drawn 11 and lost five of their 24 Primera División games so far, scoring 35 and letting in 31. That has them 6th on 35 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, two draws and two defeats, at 1.2 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Independiente Petrolero 3-2 at home; before that came a 1-1 draw away at Oriente Petrolero and a 1-0 win at home to Real Tomayapo.

Aurora are unbeaten in three. They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won two of three recently (6 scored, 4 conceded).

So far in the Primera División, Universitario de Vinto have won six, drawn three and lost 15 of 24, with 31 goals scored and 48 conceded, good for 14th place and 21 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, no draws and five defeats, averaging 1.2 goals for and 2.7 against. Last time out they lost 3-1 to Always Ready at home; before that came a 2-1 defeat away at Bolívar and a 2-1 win at home to San Antonio Bulo Bulo.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. On the road they've won none of three recently (3 scored, 9 conceded).

Home and away form points to Aurora: Aurora have won two of their last three at home, Universitario de Vinto none of their last three on the road. 14 points separate the two sides in the table. Aurora also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Aurora clear favourites at 61%, with Universitario de Vinto on 19% and the draw at 20%.

On goals, it expects around 3.5 in the game: 2.5 for Aurora and 1.0 for Universitario de Vinto. Over 2.5 goals is 64% and both teams scoring 54%. When they last met, on 19 Sept 2026, Aurora won 4-2.