Bastia vs Cannes prediction

So far in the Ligue 3, Bastia have won four, drawn three and lost four of 11, with 10 goals scored and 12 conceded, good for 11th place and 15 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, one draw and three defeats, averaging 1.2 goals for and 1.7 against. Last time out they lost 3-0 to Amiens at home; before that came a 2-0 defeat at home to Le Mans and a 1-0 win away at Guingamp.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won one of three recently (2 scored, 5 conceded).

Cannes have won four, drawn six and lost one of their 11 Ligue 3 games so far, scoring 14 and letting in 7. That has them 5th on 18 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, three draws and one defeat, at 1.2 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by Amiens; before that came a 3-0 win away at Versailles and a 1-1 draw at home to Fleury 91.

Cannes are unbeaten in four. Four clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. On the road they've won one of three recently (3 scored, 3 conceded).

There isn't much between Bastia's home form and Cannes's away form. Three points separate the two sides in the table. Cannes also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Bastia favourites at 42%, with Cannes on 30% and the draw at 28%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Bastia still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.7 in the game: 1.5 for Bastia and 1.2 for Cannes. Over 2.5 goals is 51% and both teams scoring 54%.