Troyes vs Lens prediction, 17 October 2026

Troyes

Saturday, 17 October 2026

13Half time 1 : 2Ligue 1

Lens

Nkada 26′

Monfray (OG) 13′
Edouard 45+2′
Aguilar 55′

Match result

Pre-match prediction

Locked at kickoff

20.5%Troyes

21.9%Draw

57.5%Lens

Double chance

Troyes or draw42%

Either team wins78%

Lens or draw79%

1.0Troyes3.0expected goals1.9Lens

Every market

All predictions

Total goals

LineOverUnder

0.594%6%

1.578%22%

2.557%43%

3.536%64%

4.520%80%

Both teams to score

Yes54%No46%

GG2+

No84%Yes16%

Team total goals

OverTroyesLens

0.566%83%

1.529%55%

2.510%31%

Clean sheet

Troyes17%Lens34%

Win to nil

Troyes10%Lens30%

Odd or even goals

Odd50%Even50%

Winning margin

Draw22%

WinsTroyesLens

by 113%23%

by 25%17%

by 3+2%17%

Total goal bands

0-1 goals22%2-3 goals42%4-5 goals26%6+ goals10%

Match preview · Ligue 1

Troyes vs Lens: preview and prediction

17 Oct 2026 · 19:45Stade de l'AubeHakim Ben el Hadj

Troyes welcome Lens to Stade de l'Aube in Troyes on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 19:45. It's matchday 7 in the Ligue 1. Troyes go into it 16th in the table after nine games, with Lens 9th, 7 places higher. Last time out Troyes lost 2-0 at home to Marseille, and Lens lost 2-0 at home to Sp Lisbon.

The forecast

21%Troyes22%Draw58%Lens

Expected goals1.0-1.9Over 2.5 goals57%Both teams score54%

FormLensHome and awayLensThe tableLensGoalsLensHead to headLensTeam newsEven

Troyes: form and key numbers

Troyes have won two, drawn two and lost five of their nine Ligue 1 games so far, scoring 7 and letting in 16. That has them 16th on 8 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, one draw and four defeats, at 1.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 2-0 to Marseille at home; before that came a 2-2 draw away at Dijon and a 2-0 defeat away at Angers.

Troyes haven't won in five. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in three of those games. At home they've won none of two recently (2 scored, 8 conceded). A. Ouzenadji (knee injury), I. Boura (hip injury) and Y. Kone (knee injury), plus one other, are all unavailable.

TroyesLast 6 · 1W 1D 4L

11 OctHMarseille0-2L
2 OctADijon2-2D
19 SeptAAngers0-2L
13 SeptALille0-2L
6 SeptHStrasbourg2-6L
29 AugALorient2-1W

1.0scored a game2.5conceded a game0.7points a game

At home · last 2LL

Troyes: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Lens: form and key numbers

So far in the Ligue 1, Lens have won four, drawn one and lost four of nine, with 16 goals scored and 13 conceded, good for 9th place and 13 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, one draw and three defeats, averaging 1.3 goals for and 1.7 against. Last time out they lost 2-0 to Sp Lisbon at home; before that came a 2-1 win at home to Lyon and a 2-1 defeat away at Monaco.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in two of those games. On the road they've won one of three recently (6 scored, 6 conceded). A. Sima (muscle injury), J. Chavez (thigh injury) and J. Gradit (muscle injury), plus two others, are all unavailable.

LensLast 6 · 2W 1D 3L

13 OctHSp Lisbon0-2L
9 OctHLyon2-1W
18 SeptAMonaco1-2L
13 SeptALe Mans2-2D
10 SeptASlavia Praha3-2W
5 SeptHLorient0-1L

1.3scored a game1.7conceded a game1.2points a game

Away · last 3LDW

Lens: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Troyes vs Lens: match analysis

Home and away form points to Lens: Troyes have won none of their last two at home, Lens one of their last three on the road. Five points separate the two sides in the table. Lens also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

The table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
8	Nice	9	4	2	3	+1	14
9	Lens	9	4	1	4	+3	13
10	Brest	9	3	3	3	+4	12
···
15	Angers	9	2	2	5	-8	8
16	Troyes	9	2	2	5	-9	8
17	Le Mans	9	1	4	4	-7	7

We make Lens clear favourites at 58%, with Troyes on 21% and the draw at 22%.

Goals, recent and expected

1.0Scored a game1.3
2.5Conceded a game1.7
1.0Expected here (xG)1.9

Over 1.578%Over 2.557%Over 3.536%Both score54%

On goals, it expects around 3.0 in the game: 1.0 for Troyes and 1.9 for Lens. Over 2.5 goals is 57% and both teams scoring 54%. Their last meeting, on 28 Jan 2023, finished 1-1.

Last meetings