Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas prediction

Leon have won six, drawn four and lost five of their 15 Liga MX games so far, scoring 22 and letting in 20. That has them 8th on 22 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, two draws and two defeats, at 1.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 2-1 to Cruz Azul away; before that came a 1-1 draw at home to Toluca and a 2-0 win away at Tigres UANL.

They have scored in each of their last six. At home they've won one of three recently (6 scored, 7 conceded).

So far in the Liga MX, Guadalajara Chivas have won eight, drawn five and lost two of 15, with 25 goals scored and 14 conceded, good for 2nd place and 29 points.

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, two draws and no defeats, averaging 1.7 goals for and 0.7 against. Last time out they beat Atlante 4-2 at home; before that came a 1-0 win away at Monterrey and a 1-0 win at home to Necaxa.

Guadalajara Chivas are unbeaten in six. They have scored in each of their last six. Three clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won one of two recently (2 scored, 1 conceded).

Home and away form points to Guadalajara Chivas: Leon have won one of their last three at home, Guadalajara Chivas one of their last two on the road. Seven points separate the two sides in the table. Guadalajara Chivas also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Guadalajara Chivas favourites at 43%, with Leon on 30% and the draw at 27%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.9 in the game: 1.2 for Leon and 1.6 for Guadalajara Chivas. Over 2.5 goals is 55% and both teams scoring 55%. When they last met, on 19 Mar 2026, Guadalajara Chivas won 5-0.