Afogados vs Salgueiro prediction

So far in the Pernambucano - 1, Afogados have won two, drawn none and lost two of four, with 6 goals scored and 4 conceded, good for 3rd place and 6 points.

Over the last four matches it has been two wins, no draws and two defeats, averaging 1.5 goals for and 1.0 against. Last time out they beat 1º de Maio 4-0 away; before that came a 3-0 defeat at home to Facilnet and a 2-0 win at home to Ferroviario do Cabo.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won one of two recently (2 scored, 3 conceded).

Salgueiro have won none, drawn two and lost two of their four Pernambucano - 1 games so far, scoring 3 and letting in 5. That has them 4th on 2 points.

Their last four in all competitions read no wins, two draws and two defeats, at 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 3-2 to Facilnet at home; before that came a 1-1 draw away at Ferroviario do Cabo and a 1-0 defeat at home to Petrolina.

Salgueiro haven't won in four. They failed to score in two of those games. On the road they've won none of two recently (1 scored, 1 conceded).

Home and away form points to Afogados: Afogados have won one of their last two at home, Salgueiro none of their last two on the road. Four points separate the two sides in the table. Afogados also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Afogados favourites at 46%, with Salgueiro on 27% and the draw at 27%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.9 in the game: 1.6 for Afogados and 1.2 for Salgueiro. Over 2.5 goals is 52% and both teams scoring 53%.