Celje vs Omonia Nicosia prediction

So far in the UEFA Europa League, Celje have won none, drawn one and lost two of three, with 2 goals scored and 7 conceded, good for 29th place and 1 point.

Over the last four matches it has been one win, one draw and two defeats, averaging 0.3 goals for and 0.8 against. Last time out they beat Aluminij 1-0 at home; before that came a goalless draw away at Mura and a 2-0 defeat away at Bayer Leverkusen.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. At home they've won one of two recently (1 scored, 1 conceded). J. Pisek (knee injury) misses out.

Omonia Nicosia have won two, drawn none and lost one of their three UEFA Europa League games so far, scoring 5 and letting in 4. That has them 11th on 6 points.

Their last three in all competitions read three wins, no draws and no defeats, at 2.7 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Karmiotissa 3-0 away; before that came a 4-1 win at home to Krasava Ypsonas and a 1-0 win at home to Celta.

Omonia Nicosia are unbeaten in three. Two clean sheets in that spell. A. Christou (inactive), C. Eiting (knee injury) and F. Kitsos (knee injury), plus two others, are all unavailable.

Five points separate the two sides in the table. Omonia Nicosia also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Omonia Nicosia favourites at 36%, with Celje on 31% and the draw at 33%. In truth there's very little in it.

On goals, it expects around 2.5 in the game: 1.1 for Celje and 1.4 for Omonia Nicosia. Over 2.5 goals is 45% and both teams scoring 50%.