Atletico Independiente vs Real Espana prediction

So far in the Liga Nacional, Atletico Independiente have won two, drawn six and lost five of 13, with 11 goals scored and 21 conceded, good for 10th place and 12 points.

Over the last six matches it has been no wins, three draws and three defeats, averaging 0.7 goals for and 2.3 against. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by Atlético Choloma; before that came a 3-1 defeat away at Estrella Roja and a 2-2 draw at home to CD Marathon.

Atletico Independiente haven't won in six. They failed to score in three of those games. At home they've won none of two recently (2 scored, 6 conceded).

Real Espana have won eight, drawn four and lost one of their 13 Liga Nacional games so far, scoring 23 and letting in 11. That has them 2nd on 28 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, one draw and one defeat, at 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Génesis; before that came a 3-1 win at home to Juticalpa and a 4-3 win at home to Platense FC.

Real Espana are unbeaten in three. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won one of three recently (3 scored, 3 conceded).

Home and away form points to Real Espana: Atletico Independiente have won none of their last two at home, Real Espana one of their last three on the road. 16 points separate the two sides in the table. Real Espana also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Real Espana favourites at 43%, with Atletico Independiente on 29% and the draw at 28%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.8 in the game: 1.0 for Atletico Independiente and 1.8 for Real Espana. Over 2.5 goals is 52% and both teams scoring 50%.