Elva vs Tallinna Kalev prediction

So far in the Esiliiga A, Elva have won 15, drawn nine and lost 11 of 35, with 53 goals scored and 51 conceded, good for 5th place and 54 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, four draws and one defeat, averaging 1.2 goals for and 1.7 against. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by Maardu; before that came a 3-3 draw at home to FCI Levadia II and a goalless draw away at Nõmme Kalju II.

Elva are unbeaten in three. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. At home they've won one of three recently (7 scored, 6 conceded).

Tallinna Kalev have won 12, drawn eight and lost 15 of their 35 Esiliiga A games so far, scoring 62 and letting in 63. That has them 6th on 44 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, one draw and four defeats, at 1.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Nõmme Kalju II 3-1 at home; before that came a 3-2 defeat away at Tartu Welco and a 2-1 defeat at home to FCI Levadia II.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. On the road they've won none of two recently (4 scored, 6 conceded).

Home and away form points to Elva: Elva have won one of their last three at home, Tallinna Kalev none of their last two on the road. Ten points separate the two sides in the table.

We make Elva favourites at 43%, with Tallinna Kalev on 37% and the draw at 20%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 3.7 in the game: 2.2 for Elva and 1.5 for Tallinna Kalev. Over 2.5 goals is 67% and both teams scoring 62%. When they last met, on 24 Sept 2026, Elva won 3-2.