Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils prediction

So far in the Virsliga, Super Nova have won 11, drawn six and lost 18 of 35, with 35 goals scored and 53 conceded, good for 6th place and 39 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, one draw and four defeats, averaging 1.0 goals for and 2.3 against. Last time out they drew 3-3 with FK Liepaja; before that came a 3-0 defeat at home to Rīgas FS and a 2-1 defeat away at Riga.

Super Nova haven't won in four. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in three of those games. At home they've won one of two recently (2 scored, 4 conceded).

BFC Daugavpils have won 14, drawn nine and lost 12 of their 35 Virsliga games so far, scoring 42 and letting in 37. That has them 4th on 51 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, one draw and one defeat, at 1.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Tukums 2-0 at home; before that came a 1-0 win away at FS Jelgava and a 2-1 win at home to Auda.

BFC Daugavpils are unbeaten in five. They have scored in each of their last four. Three clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won two of three recently (3 scored, 1 conceded).

Home and away form points to BFC Daugavpils: Super Nova have won one of their last two at home, BFC Daugavpils two of their last three on the road. 12 points separate the two sides in the table. BFC Daugavpils also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make BFC Daugavpils favourites at 44%, with Super Nova on 28% and the draw at 29%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.9 in the game: 1.1 for Super Nova and 1.8 for BFC Daugavpils. Over 2.5 goals is 54% and both teams scoring 53%. Their last meeting, on 22 Aug 2026, finished 0-0.