Estoril Praia vs Moreirense prediction

Estoril Praia have won none, drawn two and lost eight of their ten Primeira Liga games so far, scoring 5 and letting in 19. That has them 18th on 2 points.

Their last six in all competitions read no wins, two draws and four defeats, at 0.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Salgueiros; before that came a 2-1 defeat away at Academico Viseu and a 2-1 defeat at home to Casa Pia.

Estoril Praia haven't won in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won none of two recently (1 scored, 2 conceded).

So far in the Primeira Liga, Moreirense have won four, drawn two and lost four of ten, with 13 goals scored and 17 conceded, good for 9th place and 14 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, one draw and four defeats, averaging 0.8 goals for and 1.7 against. Last time out they lost 1-0 to AVS away; before that came a 1-0 defeat at home to Gil Vicente and a 1-1 draw away at Guimaraes.

Moreirense haven't won in three. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in three of those games. On the road they've won none of three recently (2 scored, 4 conceded).

There isn't much between Estoril Praia's home form and Moreirense's away form. 12 points separate the two sides in the table.

We make Estoril Praia favourites at 49%, with Moreirense on 25% and the draw at 26%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Estoril Praia still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.8 in the game: 1.6 for Estoril Praia and 1.1 for Moreirense. Over 2.5 goals is 51% and both teams scoring 51%. When they last met, on 20 Apr 2026, Moreirense won 1-0.