Barcelona vs Real Madrid prediction, 25 October 2026

Barcelona

Sunday, 25 October 2026

12Half time 0 : 1La Liga

Real Madrid

Raphinha 61′

Mbappe 41′

Match result

Pre-match prediction

Locked at kickoff

60.9%Barcelona

19.6%Draw

19.5%Real Madrid

Double chance

Barcelona or draw80%

Either team wins80%

Real Madrid or draw39%

2.4Barcelona3.3expected goals0.9Real Madrid

Every market

All predictions

Total goals

LineOverUnder

0.597%3%

1.586%14%

2.567%33%

3.546%54%

4.528%72%

Both teams to score

Yes62%No38%

GG2+

No81%Yes19%

Team total goals

OverBarcelonaReal Madrid

0.591%68%

1.567%28%

2.542%9%

Clean sheet

Barcelona32%Real Madrid9%

Win to nil

Barcelona28%Real Madrid7%

Odd or even goals

Odd50%Even50%

Winning margin

Draw20%

WinsBarcelonaReal Madrid

by 120%13%

by 217%5%

by 3+24%2%

Total goal bands

0-1 goals14%2-3 goals40%4-5 goals30%6+ goals16%

Match preview · La Liga

Barcelona vs Real Madrid: preview and prediction

25 Oct 2026 · 20:00Spotify Camp NouJuan Martinez Munuera

Barcelona welcome Real Madrid to Spotify Camp Nou in Barcelona on Sunday 25 October, with kick-off at 20:00. It's matchday 10 in the La Liga. Barcelona go into it 1st in the table after 11 games, with Real Madrid 3rd. Last time out Barcelona were beaten 4-2 at Paris Saint-Germain, and Real Madrid beat RB Leipzig 4-1 at home.

The forecast

61%Barcelona20%Draw20%Real Madrid

Expected goals2.4-0.9Over 2.5 goals67%Both teams score62%

FormBarcelonaHome and awayBarcelonaThe tableBarcelonaGoalsBarcelonaHead to headEvenTeam newsEven

Barcelona: form and key numbers

Barcelona have won ten, drawn none and lost one of their 11 La Liga games so far, scoring 46 and letting in 12. That has them 1st on 30 points.

Their last six in all competitions read five wins, no draws and one defeat, at 4.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 4-2 to Paris Saint-Germain away; before that came a 5-2 win away at Real Betis and a 4-1 win away at Galatasaray.

They have scored in each of their last six. At home they've won two of two recently (10 scored, 2 conceded). A. Christensen (muscle injury), D. Olmo (groin injury) and E. Garcia (muscle injury), plus two others, are all unavailable.

BarcelonaLast 6 · 5W 0D 1L

20 OctAParis Saint-Germain2-4L
17 OctAReal Betis5-2W
13 OctAGalatasaray4-1W
10 OctHGetafe3-0W
19 SeptASevilla3-1W
16 SeptHSantander7-2W

4.0scored a game1.7conceded a game2.5points a game

At home · last 2WW

Barcelona: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Real Madrid: form and key numbers

So far in the La Liga, Real Madrid have won nine, drawn none and lost two of 11, with 28 goals scored and 10 conceded, good for 3rd place and 27 points.

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, no draws and two defeats, averaging 2.3 goals for and 1.5 against. Last time out they beat RB Leipzig 4-1 at home; before that came a 4-1 win at home to Sevilla and a 4-3 win away at Roma.

Real Madrid are unbeaten in four. They have scored in each of their last four. On the road they've won one of three recently (5 scored, 7 conceded). F. Mendy (hip injury), R. Asencio (broken leg) and Rodrygo (knee injury), plus one other, are all unavailable.

Real MadridLast 6 · 4W 0D 2L

21 OctHRB Leipzig4-1W
18 OctHSevilla4-1W
14 OctARoma4-3W
10 OctHVillarreal1-0W
27 SeptAAtletico Madrid0-2L
20 SeptAAtletico Madrid1-2L

2.3scored a game1.5conceded a game2.0points a game

Away · last 3WLL

Real Madrid: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Barcelona vs Real Madrid: match analysis

Home and away form points to Barcelona: Barcelona have won two of their last two at home, Real Madrid one of their last three on the road. Three points separate the two sides in the table. Barcelona also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

The table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	11	10	0	1	+34	30
2	Atletico Madrid	11	9	1	1	+14	28
3	Real Madrid	11	9	0	2	+18	27
4	Real Betis	11	7	2	2	+3	23

We make Barcelona clear favourites at 61%, with Real Madrid on 20% and the draw at 20%.

Goals, recent and expected

4.0Scored a game2.3
1.7Conceded a game1.5
2.4Expected here (xG)0.9

Over 1.586%Over 2.567%Over 3.546%Both score62%

On goals, it expects around 3.3 in the game: 2.4 for Barcelona and 0.9 for Real Madrid. Over 2.5 goals is 67% and both teams scoring 62%. When they last met, on 10 May 2026, Barcelona won 2-0.

Last meetings