Airdrie United vs Elgin City prediction

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, one draw and three defeats, averaging 1.2 goals for and 1.8 against. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Cove Rangers at home; before that came a 4-0 defeat away at Ross County and a 2-1 defeat at home to Hamilton.

Airdrie United haven't won in three. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last five. They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won two of four recently (5 scored, 5 conceded).

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, one draw and one defeat, at 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Kelty Hearts 1-0 away; before that came a 2-1 win away at Stirling University and a goalless draw at home to FC Edinburgh.

Elgin City are unbeaten in three. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won three of three recently (5 scored, 2 conceded).

Home and away form points to Elgin City: Airdrie United have won two of their last four at home, Elgin City three of their last three on the road. Elgin City also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Airdrie United clear favourites at 52%, with Elgin City on 26% and the draw at 22%. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Airdrie United still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 3.6 in the game: 1.7 for Airdrie United and 1.8 for Elgin City. Over 2.5 goals is 63% and both teams scoring 60%.