Venezia vs Fiorentina prediction

Venezia have won one, drawn none and lost nine of their ten Serie A games so far, scoring 6 and letting in 20. That has them 20th on 3 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, one draw and three defeats, at 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 3-2 to Frosinone away; before that came a 2-0 defeat away at AC Milan and a 2-0 defeat at home to Lecce.

Venezia haven't won in three. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won two of three recently (4 scored, 2 conceded).

So far in the Serie A, Fiorentina have won two, drawn two and lost six of ten, with 15 goals scored and 23 conceded, good for 16th place and 8 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, two draws and three defeats, averaging 0.7 goals for and 1.7 against. Last time out they lost 2-1 to Torino at home; before that came a 3-0 defeat at home to Frosinone and a 4-0 defeat away at Roma.

Fiorentina haven't won in four. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. On the road they've won one of two recently (2 scored, 4 conceded).

Home and away form points to Venezia: Venezia have won two of their last three at home, Fiorentina one of their last two on the road. Five points separate the two sides in the table. Venezia also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Venezia favourites at 44%, with Fiorentina on 28% and the draw at 29%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.4 in the game: 1.4 for Venezia and 1.0 for Fiorentina. Over 2.5 goals is 43% and both teams scoring 48%. When they last met, on 12 May 2025, Venezia won 2-1.