Campodarsego vs Luparense prediction

So far in the Serie D - Girone C, Campodarsego have won five, drawn two and lost three of ten, with 19 goals scored and 16 conceded, good for 5th place and 17 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, two draws and two defeats, averaging 1.8 goals for and 1.8 against. Last time out they beat Brian Lignano 2-1 away; before that came a 2-2 draw at home to Clodiense and a 4-1 defeat away at Schio.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. At home they've won one of two recently (6 scored, 3 conceded).

Luparense have won five, drawn five and lost none of their ten Serie D - Girone C games so far, scoring 17 and letting in 5. That has them 2nd on 20 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, three draws and no defeats, at 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 2-2 with Calvi Noale; before that came a goalless draw away at Altavilla and a goalless draw away at Sandona.

Luparense are unbeaten in six. Four clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won one of three recently (3 scored, 1 conceded).

There isn't much between Campodarsego's home form and Luparense's away form. Three points separate the two sides in the table. Luparense also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Campodarsego favourites at 39%, with Luparense on 32% and the draw at 29%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Campodarsego still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.6 in the game: 1.3 for Campodarsego and 1.3 for Luparense. Over 2.5 goals is 48% and both teams scoring 52%.