Bình Phước vs Dong Thap prediction

Their last six in all competitions read one win, no draws and five defeats, at 0.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 3-0 to Công An Nhân Dân at home; before that came a 3-0 defeat at home to Ha Noi and a 1-0 defeat away at Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh.

Bình Phước haven't won in four. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. They failed to score in four of those games. At home they've won none of three recently (0 scored, 8 conceded).

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 0.8 goals for and 1.0 against. Last time out they lost 3-0 to Thai Nguyen at home; before that came a 2-0 defeat away at Ho Chi Minh and a 1-0 win at home to Văn Hiến.

Three clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won one of two recently (1 scored, 2 conceded).

Home and away form points to Dong Thap: Bình Phước have won none of their last three at home, Dong Thap one of their last two on the road. Dong Thap also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Bình Phước favourites at 51%, with Dong Thap on 27% and the draw at 22%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Bình Phước still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.2 in the game: 1.3 for Bình Phước and 0.9 for Dong Thap. Over 2.5 goals is 38% and both teams scoring 43%.