RFS vs Grobiņa prediction

RFS have won 28, drawn five and lost two of their 35 Virsliga games so far, scoring 87 and letting in 24. That has them 1st on 89 points.

Their last six in all competitions read five wins, one draw and no defeats, at 2.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Super Nova 3-0 away; before that came a 2-0 win at home to Tukums and a 4-0 win at home to Super Nova.

RFS are unbeaten in six. They have scored in each of their last six. Three clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won three of three recently (10 scored, 2 conceded).

So far in the Virsliga, Grobiņa have won six, drawn 11 and lost 18 of 35, with 27 goals scored and 64 conceded, good for 8th place and 29 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, two draws and three defeats, averaging 1.2 goals for and 1.8 against. Last time out they lost 5-2 to Riga at home; before that came a 3-2 win at home to Ogre United and a 2-1 defeat away at Super Nova.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. They failed to score in two of those games. On the road they've won none of three recently (2 scored, 4 conceded).

Home and away form points to RFS: RFS have won three of their last three at home, Grobiņa none of their last three on the road. 60 points separate the two sides in the table. RFS also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make RFS clear favourites at 88%, with Grobiņa on 3% and the draw at 10%.

On goals, it expects around 3.9 in the game: 3.1 for RFS and 0.8 for Grobiņa. Over 2.5 goals is 75% and both teams scoring 51%. When they last met, on 10 Aug 2026, Rīgas FS won 6-1.