Portsmouth vs Stoke City prediction

So far in the Championship, Portsmouth have won six, drawn four and lost four of 14, with 19 goals scored and 16 conceded, good for 10th place and 22 points.

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, two draws and no defeats, averaging 1.7 goals for and 0.8 against. Last time out they beat Swansea 3-1 at home; before that came a goalless draw away at Burnley and a 2-1 win at home to Millwall.

Portsmouth are unbeaten in six. Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won three of three recently (8 scored, 4 conceded).

Stoke City have won eight, drawn two and lost four of their 14 Championship games so far, scoring 22 and letting in 17. That has them 3rd on 26 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, one draw and one defeat, at 1.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Blackburn 2-1 away; before that came a 2-0 win at home to Preston and a goalless draw at home to Bristol City.

Stoke City are unbeaten in four. Three clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won three of three recently (5 scored, 2 conceded).

There isn't much between Portsmouth's home form and Stoke City's away form. Four points separate the two sides in the table.

We make Portsmouth favourites at 40%, with Stoke City on 32% and the draw at 29%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Portsmouth still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.7 in the game: 1.4 for Portsmouth and 1.2 for Stoke City. Over 2.5 goals is 48% and both teams scoring 51%. When they last met, on 25 Apr 2026, Portsmouth won 3-1.