Hanwell Town vs Dover prediction

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, two draws and two defeats, at 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Havant & Wville; before that came a 4-2 defeat at home to Enfield Town and a 2-1 win at home to Burgess Hill Town.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. At home they've won one of two recently (4 scored, 5 conceded).

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 1.7 goals for and 1.2 against. Last time out they beat AFC Totton 2-0 at home; before that came a 4-2 win at home to Folkestone Invicta and a 1-0 win away at Farnborough.

Dover are unbeaten in four. They have scored in each of their last four. Three clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won two of three recently (4 scored, 2 conceded).

Home and away form points to Dover: Hanwell Town have won one of their last two at home, Dover two of their last three on the road. Dover also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Hanwell Town favourites at 47%, with Dover on 29% and the draw at 24%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Hanwell Town still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 3.1 in the game: 1.8 for Hanwell Town and 1.3 for Dover. Over 2.5 goals is 60% and both teams scoring 61%.