Paranaense vs Atletico-MG prediction
Paranaense
Thursday, 8 October 2026
2:2Serie A
Atletico-MG
Pre-match prediction
All predictions
Total goals
Both teams to score
GG2+
Team total goals
Clean sheet
Win to nil
Odd or even goals
Winning margin
Total goal bands
Paranaense vs Atletico-MG: preview and prediction
Paranaense welcome Atletico-MG to Arena da Baixada in Curitiba on Thursday 8 October, with kick-off at 23:00. It's matchday 29 in the Serie A. Paranaense go into it 5th in the table after 33 games, with Atletico-MG 7th. Last time out Paranaense beat Bahia 2-1 at home, and Atletico-MG beat Bragantino 1-0 at home. Paranaense haven't lost any of their last three at home.
Paranaense: form and key numbers
Paranaense have won 15, drawn nine and lost nine of their 33 Serie A games so far, scoring 50 and letting in 40. That has them 5th on 54 points.
Their last six in all competitions read two wins, three draws and one defeat, at 2.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Bahia 2-1 at home; before that came a 3-3 draw away at Coritiba and a 3-1 defeat away at Cruzeiro.
The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. At home they've won one of three recently (6 scored, 5 conceded).
- HBahia2-1W
- ACoritiba3-3D
- ACruzeiro1-3L
- HFluminense3-3D
- ABotafogo RJ3-2W
- HBragantino1-1D
Paranaense: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.
Atletico-MG: form and key numbers
So far in the Serie A, Atletico-MG have won 14, drawn eight and lost 11 of 33, with 44 goals scored and 39 conceded, good for 7th place and 50 points.
Over the last six matches it has been three wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 1.5 goals for and 1.3 against. Last time out they beat Bragantino 1-0 at home; before that came a 1-1 draw at home to Chapecoense-SC and a 4-2 win at home to Santos.
Atletico-MG are unbeaten in four. They have scored in each of their last four. They failed to score in two of those games. On the road they've won none of two recently (0 scored, 4 conceded).
- HBragantino1-0W
- HChapecoense-SC1-1D
- HSantos4-2W
- HFluminense3-1W
- ASantos0-2L
- ASao Paulo0-2L
Atletico-MG: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.
Paranaense vs Atletico-MG: match analysis
Home and away form points to Paranaense: Paranaense have won one of their last three at home, Atletico-MG none of their last two on the road. Four points separate the two sides in the table.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fluminense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | +10 | 54 |
| 5 | Paranaense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | +10 | 54 |
| 6 | Bahia | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | +6 | 53 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | +5 | 50 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | +5 | 47 |
We make Paranaense favourites at 42%, with Atletico-MG on 32% and the draw at 26%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.
- 2.21.5
- 2.21.3
- 1.51.2
On goals, it expects around 2.7 in the game: 1.5 for Paranaense and 1.2 for Atletico-MG. Over 2.5 goals is 51% and both teams scoring 54%. When they last met, on 5 Apr 2026, Atletico-MG won 2-1.
- Atletico-MG2-1Athletico-PR
- Atletico-MG1-0Athletico-PR
- Athletico-PR1-0Atletico-MG
- Athletico-PR1-1Atletico-MG
- Atletico-MG2-1Athletico-PR
Both teams scored in six of Paranaense's last six and three of Atletico-MG's last six.
Every market at a glance
- ResultParanaense win42%
- Double chanceEither team wins74%
- GoalsOver 2.551%
- Both teams to scoreYes54%
- Clean sheetParanaense31%
- CornersParanaense 5.5 · Atletico-MG 4.610.2 expected
- Cards4.6 yellows expectedRed 15%
Frequently asked questions
Paranaense vs Atletico-MG