Willem II vs Excelsior prediction

Willem II have won none, drawn two and lost nine of their 11 Eredivisie games so far, scoring 10 and letting in 39. That has them 18th on 2 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, two draws and two defeats, at 1.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 2-2 with Heerenveen; before that came a 4-1 defeat at home to Nijmegen and a 4-1 defeat away at Go Ahead Eagles.

Willem II haven't won in three. They have scored in each of their last six. Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won one of four recently (6 scored, 7 conceded).

So far in the Eredivisie, Excelsior have won three, drawn two and lost six of 11, with 16 goals scored and 28 conceded, good for 15th place and 11 points.

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 2.3 goals for and 1.3 against. Last time out they beat Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 at home; before that came a 2-1 defeat at home to PSV and a 4-0 win away at Cambuur.

They have scored in each of their last six. On the road they've won three of three recently (10 scored, 4 conceded).

Home and away form points to Excelsior: Willem II have won one of their last four at home, Excelsior three of their last three on the road. Nine points separate the two sides in the table. Excelsior also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Excelsior favourites at 43%, with Willem II on 33% and the draw at 24%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 3.0 in the game: 1.3 for Willem II and 1.7 for Excelsior. Over 2.5 goals is 58% and both teams scoring 59%. Their last meeting, on 21 Apr 2019, finished 1-1.