Torrijos vs Manchego prediction

So far in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8, Torrijos have won four, drawn two and lost three of nine, with 10 goals scored and 8 conceded, good for 7th place and 14 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, one draw and three defeats, averaging 1.2 goals for and 1.2 against. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Huracán Balazote away; before that came a 3-0 defeat at home to Villacañas and a 2-0 defeat away at La Solana.

Torrijos haven't won in three. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. At home they've won two of three recently (6 scored, 3 conceded).

Manchego have won seven, drawn none and lost two of their nine Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 games so far, scoring 14 and letting in 7. That has them 1st on 21 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, no draws and two defeats, at 1.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Illescas 4-1 at home; before that came a 1-0 defeat away at Villarrobledo and a 1-0 win at home to Toledo.

Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won none of two recently (1 scored, 4 conceded).

Home and away form points to Torrijos: Torrijos have won two of their last three at home, Manchego none of their last two on the road. Seven points separate the two sides in the table. Manchego also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Torrijos favourites at 38%, with Manchego on 31% and the draw at 31%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.4 in the game: 1.2 for Torrijos and 1.2 for Manchego. Over 2.5 goals is 42% and both teams scoring 48%.