Novaci vs Makedonija GjP prediction

Novaci have won two, drawn two and lost five of their nine Second League games so far, scoring 6 and letting in 11. That has them 11th on 8 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, one draw and four defeats, at 0.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 4-1 to Akademija Pandev away; before that came a 1-0 defeat away at Skopje and a 2-0 defeat at home to Pelister.

Novaci haven't won in five. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. At home they've won none of two recently (1 scored, 6 conceded).

So far in the Second League, Makedonija GjP have won three, drawn two and lost four of nine, with 5 goals scored and 7 conceded, good for 8th place and 11 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, three draws and two defeats, averaging 0.7 goals for and 1.0 against. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by Osogovo; before that came a 2-2 draw at home to Bregalnica Štip and a 1-1 draw away at Belasica.

Makedonija GjP are unbeaten in three. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. On the road they've won one of two recently (2 scored, 1 conceded).

Home and away form points to Makedonija GjP: Novaci have won none of their last two at home, Makedonija GjP one of their last two on the road. Three points separate the two sides in the table. Makedonija GjP also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Novaci favourites at 49%, with Makedonija GjP on 26% and the draw at 25%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Novaci still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.8 in the game: 1.7 for Novaci and 1.1 for Makedonija GjP. Over 2.5 goals is 51% and both teams scoring 52%.