Ajax vs PSV prediction

So far in the Eredivisie, Ajax have won seven, drawn three and lost one of 11, with 30 goals scored and 13 conceded, good for 2nd place and 24 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, three draws and one defeat, averaging 1.8 goals for and 1.0 against. Last time out they beat Telstar 4-0 away; before that came a 2-2 draw at home to Heerenveen and a 2-0 win away at PEC Zwolle.

Ajax are unbeaten in four. Three clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won none of three recently (5 scored, 6 conceded).

PSV have won seven, drawn two and lost two of their 11 Eredivisie games so far, scoring 35 and letting in 13. That has them 3rd on 23 points.

Their last six in all competitions read five wins, one draw and no defeats, at 4.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Utrecht 6-1 away; before that came a 5-1 win at home to Groningen and a 2-1 win away at Excelsior.

PSV are unbeaten in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. On the road they've won three of three recently (12 scored, 3 conceded).

Home and away form points to PSV: Ajax have won none of their last three at home, PSV three of their last three on the road. One point separates the two sides in the table. PSV also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make PSV favourites at 43%, with Ajax on 32% and the draw at 25%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 3.5 in the game: 1.4 for Ajax and 2.1 for PSV. Over 2.5 goals is 68% and both teams scoring 66%. Their last meeting, on 2 May 2026, finished 2-2.