Nashville vs Philadelphia Union prediction

Nashville have won 22, drawn eight and lost three of their 33 Major League Soccer games so far, scoring 69 and letting in 25. That has them 1st on 74 points.

Their last six in all competitions read five wins, one draw and no defeats, at 2.7 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game. Last time out they beat CF Montreal 2-0 away; before that came a 1-1 draw away at San Jose Earthquakes and a 4-0 win at home to Sporting Kansas City.

Nashville are unbeaten in six. They have scored in each of their last six. Four clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won three of three recently (9 scored, 0 conceded).

So far in the Major League Soccer, Philadelphia Union have won 13, drawn eight and lost 12 of 33, with 62 goals scored and 51 conceded, good for 6th place and 47 points.

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 2.7 goals for and 1.8 against. Last time out they lost 2-1 to New England Revolution at home; before that came a 2-2 draw at home to Charlotte and a 3-1 win away at Chicago Fire.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. On the road they've won two of two recently (7 scored, 4 conceded).

There isn't much between Nashville's home form and Philadelphia Union's away form. 27 points separate the two sides in the table. Nashville also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Nashville clear favourites at 59%, with Philadelphia Union on 22% and the draw at 19%.

On goals, it expects around 3.4 in the game: 2.2 for Nashville and 1.2 for Philadelphia Union. Over 2.5 goals is 64% and both teams scoring 57%. Their last meeting, on 3 May 2026, finished 0-0.