Cruzeiro vs São Paulo prediction

Cruzeiro have won 17, drawn six and lost ten of their 33 Serie A games so far, scoring 52 and letting in 46. That has them 3rd on 57 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, no draws and two defeats, at 2.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Vitoria 3-1 away; before that came a 2-1 defeat away at Santos and a 3-1 win at home to Athletico-PR.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. At home they've won two of two recently (5 scored, 2 conceded).

So far in the Serie A, São Paulo have won 12, drawn seven and lost 14 of 33, with 39 goals scored and 39 conceded, good for 10th place and 43 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, one draw and three defeats, averaging 0.8 goals for and 1.0 against. Last time out they lost 2-1 to Santos at home; before that came a 1-0 win at home to Internacional and a 1-1 draw at home to Boca Juniors.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won none of two recently (0 scored, 3 conceded).

Home and away form points to Cruzeiro: Cruzeiro have won two of their last two at home, São Paulo none of their last two on the road. 14 points separate the two sides in the table. Cruzeiro also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Cruzeiro clear favourites at 57%, with São Paulo on 18% and the draw at 25%.

On goals, it expects around 2.7 in the game: 1.7 for Cruzeiro and 1.0 for São Paulo. Over 2.5 goals is 50% and both teams scoring 51%. When they last met, on 4 Apr 2026, Sao Paulo won 4-1.