Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente prediction

Defensa y Justicia have won eight, drawn three and lost three of their 14 Primera Division games so far, scoring 20 and letting in 13. That has them 4th on 27 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, one draw and one defeat, at 1.8 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Talleres Cordoba 2-1 away; before that came a 1-0 defeat at home to Instituto and a 2-0 win away at Union de Santa Fe.

Three clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won two of three recently (5 scored, 1 conceded).

So far in the Primera Division, Independiente have won five, drawn four and lost five of 14, with 12 goals scored and 14 conceded, good for 8th place and 19 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, three draws and two defeats, averaging 0.8 goals for and 1.3 against. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Boca Juniors at home; before that came a 1-1 draw away at Racing Club and a goalless draw away at Talleres Cordoba.

Independiente haven't won in four. They failed to score in two of those games. On the road they've won one of three recently (3 scored, 2 conceded).

There isn't much between Defensa y Justicia's home form and Independiente's away form. Eight points separate the two sides in the table. Defensa y Justicia also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Defensa y Justicia favourites at 42%, with Independiente on 26% and the draw at 32%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.3 in the game: 1.4 for Defensa y Justicia and 0.9 for Independiente. Over 2.5 goals is 40% and both teams scoring 46%. When they last met, on 18 Apr 2026, Independiente won 3-1.