Lazio vs Milan prediction

So far in the Serie A, Lazio have won nine, drawn one and lost none of ten, with 24 goals scored and 8 conceded, good for 1st place and 28 points.

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, no draws and two defeats, averaging 1.0 goals for and 1.2 against. Last time out they beat Udinese 2-1 away; before that came a 1-0 win at home to Genoa and a 1-0 win away at Bologna.

Lazio are unbeaten in four. They have scored in each of their last four. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won two of three recently (3 scored, 4 conceded).

Milan have won six, drawn three and lost one of their ten Serie A games so far, scoring 21 and letting in 12. That has them 5th on 21 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, one draw and two defeats, at 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Juventus; before that came a 2-0 win at home to Venezia and a 2-1 win away at Torino.

Milan are unbeaten in three. They have scored in each of their last six. On the road they've won two of three recently (5 scored, 3 conceded).

There isn't much between Lazio's home form and Milan's away form. Seven points separate the two sides in the table. Milan also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Milan favourites at 42%, with Lazio on 31% and the draw at 27%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.4 in the game: 1.1 for Lazio and 1.2 for Milan. Over 2.5 goals is 42% and both teams scoring 48%. When they last met, on 15 Mar 2026, Lazio won 1-0.