New York City vs Atlanta United prediction, 29 October 2026

New York City

Wednesday, 28 October 2026

21Major League Soccer

Atlanta United

Mercau 70′
Traore 90+5′

Embolo 88′

Match result

Pre-match prediction

Locked at kickoff

57.7%New York City

19.4%Draw

22.9%Atlanta United

Double chance

New York City or draw77%

Either team wins81%

Atlanta United or draw42%

2.1New York City3.4expected goals1.3Atlanta United

Every market

All predictions

Total goals

LineOverUnder

0.595%5%

1.582%18%

2.563%37%

3.543%57%

4.526%74%

Both teams to score

Yes59%No41%

GG2+

No79%Yes21%

Team total goals

OverNew York CityAtlanta United

0.585%69%

1.559%36%

2.534%15%

Clean sheet

New York City31%Atlanta United15%

Win to nil

New York City27%Atlanta United10%

Odd or even goals

Odd50%Even50%

Winning margin

Draw19%

WinsNew York CityAtlanta United

by 122%13%

by 217%6%

by 3+18%3%

Total goal bands

0-1 goals18%2-3 goals39%4-5 goals28%6+ goals15%

Match preview · Major League Soccer

New York City vs Atlanta United: preview and prediction

28 Oct 2026 · 23:30Citi FieldTori Penso

New York City welcome Atlanta United to Citi Field in Flushing on Wednesday 28 October, with kick-off at 23:30. It's matchday 32 in the Major League Soccer. New York City go into it 11th in the table after 33 games, with Atlanta United 13th. Last time out New York City drew 2-2 at Orlando City, and Atlanta United lost 3-2 at home to Chicago Fire.

The forecast

58%New York City19%Draw23%Atlanta United

Expected goals2.1-1.3Over 2.5 goals63%Both teams score59%

FormAtlanta UnitedHome and awayAtlanta UnitedThe tableNew York CityGoalsAtlanta UnitedHead to headEvenTeam newsAtlanta United

New York City: form and key numbers

So far in the Major League Soccer, New York City have won nine, drawn 12 and lost 12 of 33, with 48 goals scored and 45 conceded, good for 11th place and 39 points.

Over the last six matches it has been no wins, three draws and three defeats, averaging 1.0 goals for and 1.7 against. Last time out they drew 2-2 with Orlando City; before that came a 1-1 draw at home to Los Angeles FC and a 2-0 defeat away at Inter Miami.

New York City haven't won in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won none of two recently (1 scored, 2 conceded). A. Farnos (leg injury), D. Baiera (knee injury) and K. Parks (leg injury), plus three others, are all unavailable.

New York CityLast 6 · 0W 3D 3L

24 OctAOrlando City2-2D
17 OctHLos Angeles FC1-1D
14 OctAInter Miami0-2L
10 OctAChicago Fire1-2L
26 SeptAAtlanta Utd2-2D
18 SeptHNew York Red Bulls0-1L

1.0scored a game1.7conceded a game0.5points a game

At home · last 2DL

New York City: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Atlanta United: form and key numbers

Atlanta United have won nine, drawn six and lost 18 of their 33 Major League Soccer games so far, scoring 43 and letting in 57. That has them 13th on 33 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, one draw and three defeats, at 1.7 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 3-2 to Chicago Fire at home; before that came a 3-1 defeat at home to Inter Miami and a 3-0 win away at CF Montreal.

They have scored in each of their last six. Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won two of two recently (4 scored, 0 conceded). D. Chica (knee injury) and W. Reilly (ankle injury) both miss out.

Atlanta UnitedLast 6 · 2W 1D 3L

24 OctHChicago Fire2-3L
17 OctHInter Miami1-3L
14 OctACF Montreal3-0W
10 OctHFC Cincinnati1-3L
26 SeptHNew York City2-2D
20 SeptAPortland Timbers1-0W

1.7scored a game1.8conceded a game1.2points a game

Away · last 2WW

Atlanta United: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

New York City vs Atlanta United: match analysis

Home and away form points to Atlanta United: New York City have won none of their last two at home, Atlanta United two of their last two on the road. Six points separate the two sides in the table. Atlanta United also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

The table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
10	New York Red Bulls	33	11	6	16	-17	39
11	New York City	33	9	12	12	+3	39
12	Toronto	33	9	12	12	-12	39
13	Atlanta United	33	9	6	18	-14	33
14	DC United	33	7	12	14	-21	33

We make New York City clear favourites at 58%, with Atlanta United on 23% and the draw at 19%.

Goals, recent and expected

1.0Scored a game1.7
1.7Conceded a game1.8
2.1Expected here (xG)1.3

Over 1.582%Over 2.563%Over 3.543%Both score59%

On goals, it expects around 3.4 in the game: 2.1 for New York City and 1.3 for Atlanta United. Over 2.5 goals is 63% and both teams scoring 59%. Their last meeting, on 26 Sept 2026, finished 2-2.

Last meetings