Union Santa Fe vs Velez Sarsfield prediction

So far in the Primera Division, Union Santa Fe have won five, drawn two and lost seven of 14, with 21 goals scored and 23 conceded, good for 10th place and 17 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, two draws and three defeats, averaging 1.0 goals for and 1.7 against. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Newells Old Boys; before that came a 3-1 win at home to Estudiantes L.P. and a 1-1 draw away at Dep. Riestra.

Union Santa Fe are unbeaten in three. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won one of three recently (4 scored, 5 conceded).

Velez Sarsfield have won seven, drawn six and lost one of their 14 Primera Division games so far, scoring 23 and letting in 13. That has them 2nd on 27 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, two draws and one defeat, at 2.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 2-2 with San Lorenzo; before that came a 5-0 win away at Central Cordoba and a 1-0 win at home to Gimnasia Mendoza.

Velez Sarsfield are unbeaten in three. Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won one of two recently (5 scored, 2 conceded).

Home and away form points to Velez Sarsfield: Union Santa Fe have won one of their last three at home, Velez Sarsfield one of their last two on the road. Ten points separate the two sides in the table. Velez Sarsfield also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Velez Sarsfield favourites at 50%, with Union Santa Fe on 20% and the draw at 30%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.5 in the game: 0.9 for Union Santa Fe and 1.6 for Velez Sarsfield. Over 2.5 goals is 47% and both teams scoring 50%. Their last meeting, on 27 Apr 2026, finished 2-2.