Valencia vs Athletic prediction

Valencia have won two, drawn three and lost six of their 11 La Liga games so far, scoring 8 and letting in 17. That has them 19th on 9 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, one draw and four defeats, at 1.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 2-2 with Santander; before that came a 4-1 defeat away at Elche and a 3-2 defeat at home to Real Sociedad.

Valencia haven't won in three. They have scored in each of their last four. They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won none of two recently (2 scored, 8 conceded). D. Foulquier (injury), D. Lopez (knee injury) and J. Copete (knee injury), plus two others, are all unavailable.

So far in the La Liga, Athletic have won four, drawn three and lost three of ten, with 14 goals scored and 10 conceded, good for 7th place and 15 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, two draws and two defeats, averaging 1.2 goals for and 1.0 against. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by Alaves; before that came a 1-1 draw at home to Elche and a 3-0 win at home to Atletico Madrid.

Athletic are unbeaten in four. Three clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won one of two recently (2 scored, 2 conceded). A. Djalo (illness), N. Williams (thigh injury) and O. Sancet (muscle injury), plus one other, are all unavailable.

Home and away form points to Athletic: Valencia have won none of their last two at home, Athletic one of their last two on the road. Six points separate the two sides in the table. Athletic also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Athletic favourites at 43%, with Valencia on 31% and the draw at 26%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.8 in the game: 1.2 for Valencia and 1.5 for Athletic. Over 2.5 goals is 52% and both teams scoring 53%. When they last met, on 10 May 2026, Valencia won 1-0.