NEOM vs Al-Duhail prediction

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, no draws and three defeats, averaging 1.5 goals for and 1.0 against. Last time out they beat Al Diriyah 2-1 away; before that came a 3-1 defeat away at Al-Shabab and a 2-0 win at home to Abha.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won two of three recently (6 scored, 1 conceded).

Their last six in all competitions read six wins, no draws and no defeats, at 3.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Al Wakrah 3-1 at home; before that came a 2-1 win away at Al Sha'ab Hadhramaut and a 3-1 win at home to Lusail City.

Al-Duhail are unbeaten in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won three of three recently (9 scored, 3 conceded).

Home and away form points to Al-Duhail: NEOM have won two of their last three at home, Al-Duhail three of their last three on the road. Al-Duhail also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make NEOM favourites at 39%, with Al-Duhail on 38% and the draw at 24%. In truth there's very little in it.

On goals, it expects around 3.2 in the game: 1.5 for NEOM and 1.6 for Al-Duhail. Over 2.5 goals is 58% and both teams scoring 58%.