Lecce vs Bologna prediction

So far in the Serie A, Lecce have won three, drawn none and lost seven of ten, with 11 goals scored and 21 conceded, good for 14th place and 9 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, no draws and three defeats, averaging 1.0 goals for and 1.7 against. Last time out they lost 3-0 to AC Milan away; before that came a 3-2 win at home to Monza and a 1-0 defeat away at Cagliari.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. At home they've won two of three recently (4 scored, 6 conceded).

Bologna have won four, drawn two and lost four of their ten Serie A games so far, scoring 14 and letting in 13. That has them 9th on 14 points.

Their last six in all competitions read no wins, three draws and three defeats, at 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Torino; before that came a 1-0 defeat away at Napoli and a 2-2 draw at home to Sassuolo.

Bologna haven't won in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in three of those games. On the road they've won none of two recently (0 scored, 2 conceded).

Home and away form points to Lecce: Lecce have won two of their last three at home, Bologna none of their last two on the road. Five points separate the two sides in the table.

We make Bologna favourites at 46%, with Lecce on 25% and the draw at 28%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.4 in the game: 1.0 for Lecce and 1.4 for Bologna. Over 2.5 goals is 42% and both teams scoring 47%. When they last met, on 12 Apr 2026, Bologna won 2-0.