Leones Negros UDG vs Durango prediction
Leones Negros UDG
Sunday, 8 November 2026
18:00Liga de Expansión MX
Durango
Who wins?
All predictions
Total goals
Both teams to score
GG2+
Team total goals
Clean sheet
Win to nil
Odd or even goals
Winning margin
Total goal bands
Leones Negros UDG vs Durango: preview and prediction
Leones Negros UDG welcome Durango to Estadio Jalisco in Guadalajara on Sunday 8 November, with kick-off at 18:00. It's the quarter-finals of the Liga de Expansión MX. Leones Negros UDG go into it 2nd in the table after 15 games, with Durango 7th. Last time out Leones Negros UDG were beaten 1-0 at Durango, and Durango beat Leones Negros UDG 1-0 at home.
We lean to Leones Negros UDG (50%), but Durango could spring a surprise.
- Durango have been doing better than we expected from them lately.
Leones Negros UDG: form and key numbers
Leones Negros UDG have won nine, drawn three and lost three of their 15 Liga de Expansión MX games so far, scoring 34 and letting in 20. That has them 2nd on 30 points.
Their last six in all competitions read three wins, one draw and two defeats, at 2.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Durango away; before that came a 3-1 win at home to Tepatitlán and a 2-0 win away at Mineros de Zacatecas.
At home they've won two of three recently (10 scored, 6 conceded).
- ADurango0-1L
- HTepatitlán3-1W
- AMineros de Zacatecas2-0W
- HAlebrijes de Oaxaca1-2L
- AVenados FC1-1D
- HDorados6-3W
Leones Negros UDG: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.
Durango: form and key numbers
So far in the Liga de Expansión MX, Durango have won seven, drawn three and lost five of 15, with 21 goals scored and 15 conceded, good for 7th place and 24 points.
Over the last six matches it has been four wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 2.5 goals for and 1.0 against. Last time out they beat Leones Negros UDG 1-0 at home; before that came a 3-1 win at home to Monarcas and a 3-2 defeat away at Venados FC.
They have scored in each of their last four. Three clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won none of two recently (2 scored, 3 conceded).
- HLeones Negros UDG1-0W
- HMonarcas3-1W
- AVenados FC2-3L
- HTapatío5-0W
- ACDS Tampico Madero0-0D
- HMineros de Zacatecas4-2W
Durango: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.
Leones Negros UDG vs Durango: match analysis
Home and away form points to Leones Negros UDG: Leones Negros UDG have won two of their last three at home, Durango none of their last two on the road. Six points separate the two sides in the table. Durango also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA La Paz | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | +18 | 30 |
| 2 | Leones Negros UDG | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | +14 | 30 |
| 3 | Atlético Morelia | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | +7 | 26 |
| ··· | |||||||
| 6 | Venados | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +6 | 25 |
| 7 | Durango | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +6 | 24 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 22 |
We make Leones Negros UDG favourites at 50%, with Durango on 25% and the draw at 25%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.
- 2.22.5
- 1.31.0
- 1.81.3
On goals, it expects around 3.1 in the game: 1.8 for Leones Negros UDG and 1.3 for Durango. Over 2.5 goals is 58% and both teams scoring 57%. When they last met, on 6 Nov 2026, Durango won 1-0.
- Durango1-0Leones Negros UDG
Their recent games have averaged 3.5 goals.
Every market at a glance
- ResultLeones Negros UDG win50%
- Double chanceLeones Negros UDG or draw75%
- GoalsOver 2.558%
- Both teams to scoreYes57%
- Clean sheetLeones Negros UDG29%
- CornersLeones Negros UDG 6.3 · Durango 4.210.5 expected
- Cards5.7 yellows expectedRed 63%
Frequently asked questions
Leones Negros UDG vs Durango
Following Home win, Over 2.5 goals, Both teams to score · yes