Paris vs Rennes prediction

Paris have won five, drawn two and lost two of their nine Ligue 1 games so far, scoring 16 and letting in 10. That has them 4th on 17 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, two draws and one defeat, at 1.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Lorient away; before that came a 2-1 win at home to Strasbourg and a goalless draw at home to Lyon.

Three clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. At home they've won two of three recently (5 scored, 1 conceded). J. Ikone (thigh injury), N. Sangui (muscle injury) and S. Chergui (knee injury), plus one other, are all unavailable.

So far in the Ligue 1, Rennes have won five, drawn one and lost three of nine, with 20 goals scored and 19 conceded, good for 5th place and 16 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 1.2 goals for and 1.2 against. Last time out they beat OFI Crete 2-1 at home; before that came a 4-1 win at home to Auxerre and a 1-0 defeat away at Laval.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. On the road they've won none of three recently (0 scored, 5 conceded).

Home and away form points to Paris: Paris have won two of their last three at home, Rennes none of their last three on the road. One point separates the two sides in the table. Paris also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Paris favourites at 48%, with Rennes on 28% and the draw at 24%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.9 in the game: 1.6 for Paris and 1.3 for Rennes. Over 2.5 goals is 58% and both teams scoring 59%. When they last met, on 10 May 2026, Rennes won 2-1.