Albinoleffe U20 vs Avellino U19 prediction

Over the last six matches it has been one win, two draws and three defeats, averaging 1.0 goals for and 1.8 against. Last time out they drew 2-2 with Hellas Verona U20; before that came a 2-0 defeat at home to Fiorentina U20 and a 4-2 defeat away at Sassuolo U20.

Albinoleffe U20 haven't won in four. They failed to score in three of those games. At home they've won none of three recently (0 scored, 4 conceded).

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, one draw and three defeats, at 1.5 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 5-2 to Benevento U19 away; before that came a 2-1 defeat at home to Catanzaro U19 and a 1-0 defeat away at Perugia U19.

Avellino U19 haven't won in three. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last five. They failed to score in two of those games. On the road they've won none of three recently (2 scored, 6 conceded).

There isn't much between Albinoleffe U20's home form and Avellino U19's away form. Avellino U19 also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Albinoleffe U20 favourites at 48%, with Avellino U19 on 31% and the draw at 21%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Albinoleffe U20 still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 3.2 in the game: 1.9 for Albinoleffe U20 and 1.3 for Avellino U19. Over 2.5 goals is 58% and both teams scoring 55%.