Millwall U21 vs Brighton U21 prediction

Over the last five matches it has been three wins, no draws and two defeats, averaging 1.4 goals for and 1.0 against. Last time out they beat Cardiff City U21 3-0 at home; before that came a 3-1 win away at Bristol City U21 and a 1-0 win at home to West Ham United U21.

Millwall U21 are unbeaten in three. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won two of three recently (4 scored, 3 conceded).

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, one draw and three defeats, at 2.2 goals scored and 3.5 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 6-0 to Cambridge away; before that came a 4-2 win away at Fulham U21 and a 3-3 draw at home to AFC Bournemouth U21.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. On the road they've won one of four recently (8 scored, 17 conceded).

Home and away form points to Millwall U21: Millwall U21 have won two of their last three at home, Brighton U21 one of their last four on the road. Millwall U21 also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Millwall U21 favourites at 49%, with Brighton U21 on 31% and the draw at 19%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 3.8 in the game: 2.3 for Millwall U21 and 1.5 for Brighton U21. Over 2.5 goals is 70% and both teams scoring 63%.