Sassuolo vs Milan prediction

So far in the Serie A, Sassuolo have won two, drawn two and lost six of ten, with 16 goals scored and 26 conceded, good for 17th place and 8 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, one draw and three defeats, averaging 1.5 goals for and 1.7 against. Last time out they lost 2-1 to Monza away; before that came a 3-2 win at home to Juventus and a 2-2 draw away at Bologna.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. At home they've won two of two recently (5 scored, 3 conceded).

Milan have won six, drawn three and lost one of their ten Serie A games so far, scoring 21 and letting in 12. That has them 5th on 21 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, two draws and one defeat, at 1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Lecce 3-0 at home; before that came a 2-0 defeat at home to Benfica and a 2-2 draw away at Lazio.

Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won one of three recently (5 scored, 4 conceded).

Home and away form points to Sassuolo: Sassuolo have won two of their last two at home, Milan one of their last three on the road. 13 points separate the two sides in the table. Milan also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Milan favourites at 45%, with Sassuolo on 29% and the draw at 26%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.8 in the game: 1.2 for Sassuolo and 1.6 for Milan. Over 2.5 goals is 53% and both teams scoring 56%. When they last met, on 3 May 2026, Sassuolo won 2-0.