Azerbaijan vs Lithuania prediction
Azerbaijan
Sunday, 4 October 2026
1:0Half time 1 : 0UEFA Nations League
Lithuania
Pre-match prediction
All predictions
Total goals
Both teams to score
GG2+
Team total goals
Clean sheet
Win to nil
Odd or even goals
Winning margin
Total goal bands
Azerbaijan vs Lithuania: preview and prediction
Azerbaijan welcome Lithuania to Bakcell Arena in Baku on Sunday 4 October, with kick-off at 13:00. It's matchday 4 in the UEFA Nations League. Azerbaijan go into it 1st in the table after three games, with Lithuania 2nd. Last time out Azerbaijan were held to a goalless draw at home by Liechtenstein, and Lithuania beat Andorra 3-0 at home.
Azerbaijan: form and key numbers
So far in the UEFA Nations League, Azerbaijan have won one, drawn two and lost none of three, with 2 goals scored and 1 conceded, good for 1st place and 5 points.
Over the last three matches it has been one win, two draws and no defeats, averaging 0.7 goals for and 0.3 against. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by Liechtenstein; before that came a 1-1 draw away at Lithuania and a 1-0 win at home to Tajikistan.
Azerbaijan are unbeaten in three. Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won one of two recently (1 scored, 0 conceded).
- HLiechtenstein0-0D
- ALithuania1-1D
- HTajikistan1-0W
Azerbaijan: last 3 results in all competitions, newest first.
Lithuania: form and key numbers
Lithuania have won one, drawn one and lost one of their three UEFA Nations League games so far, scoring 3 and letting in 2. That has them 2nd on 4 points.
Their last three in all competitions read two wins, one draw and no defeats, at 2.0 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Andorra 3-0 at home; before that came a 1-1 draw at home to Azerbaijan and a 2-0 win away at Liechtenstein.
Lithuania are unbeaten in three. Two clean sheets in that spell.
- HAndorra3-0W
- HAzerbaijan1-1D
- ALiechtenstein2-0W
Lithuania: last 3 results in all competitions, newest first.
Azerbaijan vs Lithuania: match analysis
One point separates the two sides in the table. Lithuania also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Azerbaijan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 5 |
| 2 | Lithuania | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 3 | Liechtenstein | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
We make Lithuania favourites at 35%, with Azerbaijan on 32% and the draw at 33%. In truth there's very little in it.
- 0.72.0
- 0.30.3
- 1.21.1
On goals, it expects around 2.4 in the game: 1.2 for Azerbaijan and 1.1 for Lithuania. Over 2.5 goals is 42% and both teams scoring 48%. Their last meeting, on 27 Sept 2026, finished 1-1.
- Lithuania1-1Azerbaijan
Their recent games have averaged 1.7 goals.
Every market at a glance
- ResultLithuania win35%
- Double chanceLithuania or draw68%
- GoalsUnder 2.558%
- Both teams to scoreNo52%
- Clean sheetAzerbaijan32%
- CornersAzerbaijan 4.9 · Lithuania 4.39.2 expected
- Cards4.3 yellows expectedRed 15%
Frequently asked questions
Azerbaijan vs Lithuania