Groningen vs Ajax prediction, 18 October 2026

Groningen

Sunday, 18 October 2026

25Half time 0 : 2Eredivisie

Ajax

Willumsson 49′
van Bergen 83′

Brandt 27′, 60′
Bouwman 37′
Mokio 69′, 75′

Match result

Pre-match prediction

Locked at kickoff

26.5%Groningen

20.6%Draw

52.8%Ajax

Double chance

Groningen or draw47%

Either team wins79%

Ajax or draw73%

1.2Groningen3.3expected goals2.1Ajax

Every market

All predictions

Total goals

LineOverUnder

0.596%4%

1.583%17%

2.564%36%

3.543%57%

4.526%74%

Both teams to score

Yes61%No39%

GG2+

No79%Yes21%

Team total goals

OverGroningenAjax

0.572%85%

1.536%59%

2.515%35%

Clean sheet

Groningen15%Ajax28%

Win to nil

Groningen11%Ajax24%

Odd or even goals

Odd50%Even50%

Winning margin

Draw21%

WinsGroningenAjax

by 116%21%

by 27%16%

by 3+4%17%

Total goal bands

0-1 goals17%2-3 goals40%4-5 goals29%6+ goals15%

Match preview · Eredivisie

Groningen vs Ajax: preview and prediction

18 Oct 2026 · 15:45Hitachi Capital Mobility StadionDennis Higler

Groningen welcome Ajax to Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadion in Groningen on Sunday 18 October, with kick-off at 15:45. It's matchday 9 in the Eredivisie. Groningen go into it 8th in the table after 11 games, with Ajax 2nd, 6 places higher. Last time out Groningen won 5-1 away at Excelsior, and Ajax were beaten 2-1 at HNK Hajduk Split.

The forecast

27%Groningen21%Draw53%Ajax

Expected goals1.2-2.1Over 2.5 goals64%Both teams score61%

FormEvenHome and awayEvenThe tableAjaxGoalsAjaxHead to headAjaxTeam newsEven

Groningen: form and key numbers

So far in the Eredivisie, Groningen have won four, drawn three and lost four of 11, with 26 goals scored and 24 conceded, good for 8th place and 15 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, two draws and two defeats, averaging 2.3 goals for and 2.0 against. Last time out they beat Excelsior 5-1 away; before that came a 3-0 win at home to PEC Zwolle and a 1-1 draw away at Go Ahead Eagles.

Groningen are unbeaten in four. They have scored in each of their last six. At home they've won one of three recently (7 scored, 5 conceded). E. van der Laan (injury), M. Jeng (leg injury) and T. Hernes (injury), plus one other, are all unavailable.

GroningenLast 6 · 2W 2D 2L

11 OctAExcelsior5-1W
18 SeptHPEC Zwolle3-0W
12 SeptAGo Ahead Eagles1-1D
6 SeptHTwente2-2D
28 AugHFor Sittard2-3L
23 AugAPSV1-5L

2.3scored a game2.0conceded a game1.3points a game

At home · last 3WDL

Groningen: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Ajax: form and key numbers

Ajax have won seven, drawn three and lost one of their 11 Eredivisie games so far, scoring 30 and letting in 13. That has them 2nd on 24 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, two draws and two defeats, at 2.5 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 2-1 to HNK Hajduk Split away; before that came a 1-1 draw at home to Nijmegen and a 2-2 draw at home to Excelsior.

Ajax haven't won in three. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. On the road they've won one of two recently (6 scored, 3 conceded). A. Gaaei (injury), Caio Henrique (thigh injury) and D. Blind (back injury), plus two others, are all unavailable.

AjaxLast 6 · 2W 2D 2L

15 OctAHNK Hajduk Split1-2L
10 OctHNijmegen1-1D
19 SeptHExcelsior2-2D
15 SeptHWillem II5-1W
12 SeptAFor Sittard5-1W
5 SeptHPSV1-3L

2.5scored a game1.7conceded a game1.3points a game

Away · last 2LW

Ajax: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Groningen vs Ajax: match analysis

There isn't much between Groningen's home form and Ajax's away form. Nine points separate the two sides in the table. Ajax also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

The table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Feyenoord	11	7	4	0	+21	25
2	Ajax	11	7	3	1	+17	24
3	PSV	11	7	2	2	+22	23
···
7	Heerenveen	11	5	3	3	+6	18
8	Groningen	11	4	3	4	+2	15
9	Cambuur	11	4	3	4	+1	15

We make Ajax clear favourites at 53%, with Groningen on 27% and the draw at 21%.

Goals, recent and expected

2.3Scored a game2.5
2.0Conceded a game1.7
1.2Expected here (xG)2.1

Over 1.583%Over 2.564%Over 3.543%Both score61%

On goals, it expects around 3.3 in the game: 1.2 for Groningen and 2.1 for Ajax. Over 2.5 goals is 64% and both teams scoring 61%. When they last met, on 7 Mar 2026, Groningen won 3-1.

Last meetings