Bendel Insurance vs Barau prediction

Bendel Insurance have won six, drawn none and lost four of their ten NPFL games so far, scoring 18 and letting in 15. That has them 3rd on 18 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, one draw and three defeats, at 1.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 3-0 to Abia Warriors away; before that came a 2-1 win at home to Ikorodu City and a 2-1 defeat away at Ranchers Bees.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won two of three recently (8 scored, 5 conceded).

So far in the NPFL, Barau have won three, drawn seven and lost one of 11, with 13 goals scored and 10 conceded, good for 7th place and 16 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, four draws and no defeats, averaging 1.0 goals for and 0.3 against. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Sporting Lagos; before that came a 2-0 win at home to Abia Warriors and a goalless draw away at Ikorodu City.

Barau are unbeaten in six. Four clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. On the road they've won none of four recently (1 scored, 1 conceded).

Home and away form points to Bendel Insurance: Bendel Insurance have won two of their last three at home, Barau none of their last four on the road. Two points separate the two sides in the table. Barau also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Bendel Insurance favourites at 44%, with Barau on 26% and the draw at 31%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.5 in the game: 1.3 for Bendel Insurance and 1.1 for Barau. Over 2.5 goals is 44% and both teams scoring 50%. Their last meeting, on 29 Jan 2026, finished 0-0.