Cardiff vs Burnley prediction

Cardiff have won three, drawn five and lost five of their 13 Championship games so far, scoring 19 and letting in 20. That has them 18th on 14 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, one draw and two defeats, at 2.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 3-0 to Wolverhampton Wanderers away; before that came a 1-0 win at home to Birmingham and a 2-2 draw away at Middlesbrough.

At home they've won three of three recently (9 scored, 2 conceded).

So far in the Championship, Burnley have won one, drawn seven and lost six of 14, with 18 goals scored and 26 conceded, good for 22nd place and 10 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, three draws and two defeats, averaging 1.5 goals for and 1.5 against. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Queens Park Rangers; before that came a goalless draw at home to Portsmouth and a 4-1 defeat away at Lincoln.

Burnley haven't won in five. Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won one of three recently (6 scored, 5 conceded).

Home and away form points to Cardiff: Cardiff have won three of their last three at home, Burnley one of their last three on the road. Four points separate the two sides in the table. Cardiff also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Cardiff favourites at 43%, with Burnley on 32% and the draw at 25%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.8 in the game: 1.5 for Cardiff and 1.3 for Burnley. Over 2.5 goals is 52% and both teams scoring 55%. When they last met, on 4 Mar 2025, Burnley won 2-1.