Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk prediction

Inter have won one, drawn none and lost two of their three UEFA Champions League games so far, scoring 5 and letting in 6. That has them 20th on 3 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, one draw and one defeat, at 3.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Bologna 3-1 away; before that came a 4-3 defeat at home to Club Brugge and a 3-0 win at home to Parma.

They have scored in each of their last six. Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won three of four recently (13 scored, 7 conceded). B. Pavard (thigh injury), C. Jones (thigh injury) and J. Stones (injury), plus one other, are all unavailable.

So far in the UEFA Champions League, Shakhtar Donetsk have won one, drawn one and lost one of three, with 4 goals scored and 3 conceded, good for 17th place and 4 points.

Over the last six matches it has been six wins, no draws and no defeats, averaging 2.8 goals for and 0.3 against. Last time out they beat Kolos Kovalivka 2-1 at home; before that came a 3-1 win at home to AEK and a 3-0 win away at Veres Rivne.

Shakhtar Donetsk are unbeaten in six. They have scored in each of their last six. Four clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won two of two recently (6 scored, 0 conceded). A. Ghram (injury), D. Tvardovskyi (off the roster) and Eguinaldo (shoulder injury), plus seven others, are all unavailable.

Home and away form points to Shakhtar Donetsk: Inter have won three of their last four at home, Shakhtar Donetsk two of their last two on the road. One point separates the two sides in the table. Shakhtar Donetsk also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Inter clear favourites at 79%, with Shakhtar Donetsk on 9% and the draw at 12%.

On goals, it expects around 3.6 in the game: 2.5 for Inter and 1.1 for Shakhtar Donetsk. Over 2.5 goals is 66% and both teams scoring 57%.