Tammeka vs Vaprus prediction

Tammeka have won 17, drawn two and lost 16 of their 35 Meistriliiga games so far, scoring 50 and letting in 55. That has them 5th on 53 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, no draws and three defeats, at 2.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Laagri 2-1 at home; before that came a 2-1 defeat away at FC Levadia Tallinn and a 5-1 win at home to Trans Narva.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last five. At home they've won three of three recently (11 scored, 2 conceded).

So far in the Meistriliiga, Vaprus have won ten, drawn seven and lost 18 of 35, with 46 goals scored and 69 conceded, good for 8th place and 37 points.

Over the last six matches it has been no wins, three draws and three defeats, averaging 1.2 goals for and 2.0 against. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Paide at home; before that came a 1-1 draw at home to Kuressaare and a 4-2 defeat away at Nõmme United.

Vaprus haven't won in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in two of those games. On the road they've won none of two recently (2 scored, 6 conceded).

Home and away form points to Tammeka: Tammeka have won three of their last three at home, Vaprus none of their last two on the road. 16 points separate the two sides in the table. Tammeka also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Tammeka favourites at 40%, with Vaprus on 36% and the draw at 24%. In truth there's very little in it.

On goals, it expects around 3.5 in the game: 2.5 for Tammeka and 1.0 for Vaprus. Over 2.5 goals is 65% and both teams scoring 56%. When they last met, on 11 Jul 2026, Vaprus won 5-1.