Millwall vs Lincoln prediction

Millwall have won five, drawn three and lost five of their 13 Championship games so far, scoring 23 and letting in 21. That has them 12th on 18 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, two draws and three defeats, at 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Swansea at home; before that came a 1-0 win away at Preston and a 2-2 draw at home to West Ham United.

They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won none of three recently (2 scored, 4 conceded). C. De Norre (muscle injury), J. Coburn (muscle injury) and L. Jensen (muscle injury), plus five others, are all unavailable.

So far in the Championship, Lincoln have won four, drawn three and lost six of 13, with 14 goals scored and 23 conceded, good for 16th place and 15 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, no draws and four defeats, averaging 0.5 goals for and 2.5 against. Last time out they lost 6-0 to West Ham United at home; before that came a 3-0 defeat away at Sheffield United and a 2-1 defeat at home to Swansea.

Lincoln haven't won in three. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. On the road they've won two of four recently (2 scored, 7 conceded). C. McGrandles (red card), M. Melia (thigh injury) and R. Hackett-Fairchild (inactive), plus two others, are all unavailable.

Home and away form points to Lincoln: Millwall have won none of their last three at home, Lincoln two of their last four on the road. Three points separate the two sides in the table. Millwall also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Millwall clear favourites at 57%, with Lincoln on 19% and the draw at 23%.

On goals, it expects around 2.7 in the game: 1.6 for Millwall and 1.1 for Lincoln. Over 2.5 goals is 51% and both teams scoring 53%.