Sheffield Utd vs Derby County prediction, 24 October 2026

Sheffield Utd

Saturday, 24 October 2026

11Half time 0 : 1Championship

Derby County

Bamford 79′

Clark 37′

Match result

Pre-match prediction

Locked at kickoff

47.0%Sheffield Utd

26.2%Draw

26.8%Derby County

Double chance

Sheffield Utd or draw73%

Either team wins74%

Derby County or draw53%

1.5Sheffield Utd2.8expected goals1.3Derby County

Every market

All predictions

Total goals

LineOverUnder

0.593%7%

1.576%24%

2.553%47%

3.532%68%

4.517%83%

Both teams to score

Yes55%No45%

GG2+

No84%Yes16%

Team total goals

OverSheffield UtdDerby County

0.576%72%

1.543%38%

2.520%16%

Clean sheet

Sheffield Utd28%Derby County24%

Win to nil

Sheffield Utd25%Derby County14%

Odd or even goals

Odd50%Even50%

Winning margin

Draw26%

WinsSheffield UtdDerby County

by 124%15%

by 213%7%

by 3+10%5%

Total goal bands

0-1 goals24%2-3 goals44%4-5 goals24%6+ goals8%

Match preview · Championship

Sheffield Utd vs Derby County: preview and prediction

24 Oct 2026 · 12:30Bramall LaneSteve Martin

Sheffield Utd welcome Derby County to Bramall Lane in Sheffield on Saturday 24 October, with kick-off at 12:30. It's matchday 12 in the Championship. Sheffield Utd go into it 10th in the table after 13 games, with Derby County 23rd, 13 places lower. Last time out Sheffield Utd won 1-0 away at Bristol City, and Derby County lost 1-0 at home to Stoke.

The forecast

47%Sheffield Utd26%Draw27%Derby County

Expected goals1.5-1.3Over 2.5 goals53%Both teams score55%

FormSheffield UtdHome and awaySheffield UtdThe tableSheffield UtdGoalsSheffield UtdHead to headSheffield UtdTeam newsSheffield Utd

Sheffield Utd: form and key numbers

Sheffield Utd have won five, drawn four and lost four of their 13 Championship games so far, scoring 17 and letting in 15. That has them 10th on 19 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, no draws and four defeats, at 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Bristol City 1-0 away; before that came a 3-2 defeat away at Portsmouth and a 3-0 win at home to Lincoln.

They have scored in each of their last four. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won one of two recently (3 scored, 1 conceded). J. Shackleton (health problems) and M. Doherty (injury) both miss out.

Sheffield UtdLast 6 · 2W 0D 4L

17 OctABristol City1-0W
14 OctAPortsmouth2-3L
10 OctHLincoln3-0W
19 SeptAStoke1-2L
16 SeptAFleetwood Town0-1L
13 SeptHWolverhampton Wanderers0-1L

1.2scored a game1.2conceded a game1.0points a game

At home · last 2WL

Sheffield Utd: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Derby County: form and key numbers

So far in the Championship, Derby County have won one, drawn four and lost eight of 13, with 11 goals scored and 25 conceded, good for 23rd place and 7 points.

Over the last six matches it has been no wins, two draws and four defeats, averaging 0.7 goals for and 1.7 against. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Stoke at home; before that came a 4-1 defeat away at Queens Park Rangers and a 1-1 draw at home to Wrexham.

Derby County haven't won in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in two of those games. On the road they've won none of two recently (2 scored, 5 conceded). A. Mowatt (health problems), C. Forsyth (knee injury) and C. Taylor (injury), plus eight others, are all unavailable.

Derby CountyLast 6 · 0W 2D 4L

17 OctHStoke0-1L
14 OctAQueens Park Rangers1-4L
10 OctHWrexham1-1D
19 SeptABurnley1-1D
12 SeptHBirmingham1-2L
9 SeptHWest Bromwich Albion0-1L

0.7scored a game1.7conceded a game0.3points a game

Away · last 2LD

Derby County: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Sheffield Utd vs Derby County: match analysis

Home and away form points to Sheffield Utd: Sheffield Utd have won one of their last two at home, Derby County none of their last two on the road. 12 points separate the two sides in the table. Sheffield Utd also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

The table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
9	QPR	13	5	5	3	+5	20
10	Sheffield Utd	13	5	4	4	+2	19
11	Portsmouth	13	5	4	4	+1	19
···
22	Burnley	13	1	6	6	-8	9
23	Derby County	13	1	4	8	-14	7
24	Preston North End	13	1	2	10	-17	5

We make Sheffield Utd favourites at 47%, with Derby County on 27% and the draw at 26%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

Goals, recent and expected

1.2Scored a game0.7
1.2Conceded a game1.7
1.5Expected here (xG)1.3

Over 1.576%Over 2.553%Over 3.532%Both score55%

On goals, it expects around 2.8 in the game: 1.5 for Sheffield Utd and 1.3 for Derby County. Over 2.5 goals is 53% and both teams scoring 55%. When they last met, on 2 May 2026, Sheffield United won 2-1.

Last meetings