Atlante vs Monterrey prediction

Atlante have won three, drawn five and lost six of their 14 Liga MX games so far, scoring 14 and letting in 20. That has them 16th on 14 points.

Their last six in all competitions read no wins, four draws and two defeats, at 0.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Puebla; before that came a 3-0 defeat at home to Pachuca and a 1-1 draw away at Atlas.

Atlante haven't won in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last five. They failed to score in three of those games. At home they've won none of three recently (1 scored, 4 conceded).

So far in the Liga MX, Monterrey have won six, drawn two and lost five of 13, with 23 goals scored and 18 conceded, good for 8th place and 20 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 1.7 goals for and 1.0 against. Last time out they beat Cruz Azul 1-0 at home; before that came a goalless draw at home to Tigres UANL and a 3-1 defeat at home to Atl. San Luis.

Three clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won one of two recently (2 scored, 2 conceded).

Home and away form points to Monterrey: Atlante have won none of their last three at home, Monterrey one of their last two on the road. Six points separate the two sides in the table. Monterrey also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Monterrey favourites at 41%, with Atlante on 31% and the draw at 27%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.7 in the game: 1.2 for Atlante and 1.5 for Monterrey. Over 2.5 goals is 51% and both teams scoring 54%. When they last met, on 30 Mar 2014, Monterrey won 3-2.