Ústí nad Orlicí vs Kosmonosy prediction

So far in the 4. liga - Divizie C, Ústí nad Orlicí have won six, drawn four and lost three of 13, with 21 goals scored and 11 conceded, good for 7th place and 22 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, two draws and two defeats, averaging 0.8 goals for and 0.7 against. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by Chlumec nad Cidlinou; before that came a goalless draw at home to Vysoké Mýto and a 1-0 defeat away at Přepeře.

Ústí nad Orlicí haven't won in four. Three clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. At home they've won one of three recently (3 scored, 3 conceded).

Kosmonosy have won ten, drawn one and lost two of their 13 4. liga - Divizie C games so far, scoring 42 and letting in 19. That has them 2nd on 31 points.

Their last six in all competitions read five wins, no draws and one defeat, at 3.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Vykan 4-1 at home; before that came a 4-1 win away at Svitavy and a 2-1 defeat at home to Dvůr Králové.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. On the road they've won three of three recently (12 scored, 5 conceded).

Home and away form points to Kosmonosy: Ústí nad Orlicí have won one of their last three at home, Kosmonosy three of their last three on the road. Nine points separate the two sides in the table. Kosmonosy also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Kosmonosy favourites at 45%, with Ústí nad Orlicí on 35% and the draw at 20%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 3.6 in the game: 1.6 for Ústí nad Orlicí and 2.0 for Kosmonosy. Over 2.5 goals is 65% and both teams scoring 60%.